In the Caribbean, rising sea levels, higher temperatures, and ocean acidification are not only destroying fragile ecosystems but also leading to a significant decline in per capita GDP. On the one hand, this is forcing many people to migrate; on the other hand, nearly 6 million people - particularly older, less educated, and poorer populations - could remain trapped in their vulnerable hometowns without the means to relocate.The report of our partner Global Centre for Climate Mobility examines three scenarios for the future of climate mobility in the Greater Caribbean: from the “Green Road” scenario of cooperative decarbonization to the “Rocky Road” of regional rivalry, which predicts dramatic shifts. The findings lead to an urgent call to action to improve access to climate risk information and enable positive adaptation processes, while also protecting the right to remain and supporting humane resettlement. The report offers a roadmap to prepare the region for a future in which climate mobility will be an inevitable part of life and will have a positive impact on development and integration.
 

The “African Shifts” report of our partner Global Centre for Climate Mobility documents the current realities of climate-driven migration in Africa and outlines possible future scenarios. The findings show that the consequences of climate change - ranging from biodiversity loss to declining food production - are already being felt today and will intensify under current emission trends. The report shows that increasing heat, droughts, floods, and coastal erosion will render large parts of the continent uninhabitable and force millions of people to flee. At the same time, unplanned migration risks exacerbating tensions over scarce resources and further destabilizing already fragile regions. Those who are unable to move—due to poverty, old age, or disability—are particularly vulnerable, as they remain exposed to increasingly dangerous climatic conditions without adequate protection. The “African Shifts” report highlights these risks but also offers perspectives: Through forward-looking planning and investments in resilience, Africa can use climate-driven mobility as an opportunity to strengthen communities, advance regional integration, and promote development and shared growth despite challenging climatic conditions.

More than 82 million people worldwide are currently displaced within their own countries – the highest number ever recorded. The Global Report on Internal Displacement 2026 shows that conflict and violence have become the leading drivers, pushing displacement to record levels. At the same time, climate risks and extreme weather continue to force millions from their homes. Internal displacement has thus become a global structural crisis that goes far beyond humanitarian response. The report provides data, analysis and solutions to address root causes and create long-term prospects for those affected.

The new paper “Routes in flux: is EU migration policy working?” by our partner Mixed Migration Centre provides an up to date analysis of migration dynamics in Europe against the backdrop of recent policy developments. It examines how arrival numbers and migration routes have evolved in recent years and to what extent European measures have shaped these trends. The report outlines key findings on emerging patterns, governance instruments, and structural challenges, offering an evidence based for assessing the effectiveness of EU migration policy.